TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over48c7,292$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.673167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.673450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under54c3,942$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.921346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under44c2,776$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.5634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c2,643$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.1698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c2,108$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.882,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c1,909$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.5932650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over78c1,763$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.76988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over45c1,572$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.0815946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7953243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under53c1,251$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.031741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c1,211$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.371,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under26c1,175$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.838033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over43c1,014$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.263441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over59c988.39$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.243663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over41c902.96$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.134463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under57c864.84$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under52c843.48$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.6321548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over47c818.62$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under52c605.42$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.822369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007100%7 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under57c327.56$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.497248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c301.03$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15141144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over34c299.97$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.134835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Under40c248.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+101.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over57c211.79$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.962548%12 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over48c209.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3713636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.992450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c194.58$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1315354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under21c191.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under11c183.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over47c161$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3314258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over32c156.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.412832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Over59c145.73$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Under55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over45c141.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.62988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick48cpaid+99.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over41c124.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3931958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under13c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Under47c120$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.83638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c118.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Under44c109.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under54c107.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under54c107.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under40c102.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9924953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over44c98.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c90.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1814231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.573040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over53c64.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.333740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over59c63.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under54c61.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over46c60.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under66c59.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f6…d986backed Under36c55.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under52c53.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6612351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over41c52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9411547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over44c49.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.029661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c48.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c48.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9239354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over59c47.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1621748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c44.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1932854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick46cpaid+87.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Under56c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.561656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed Under51c41.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Under43c40.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.533243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x195d…2decbacked Over74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e1…982dbacked Over73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Under55c30.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over58c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.084339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over47c27.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.666347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.721054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2444…4252backed Over46c24.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a5…7f75backed Under50c23.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over43c23.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.464163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe953…7be7backed Under53c22.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under55c22.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.357762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2600…f0dcbacked Over77c20.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe3…6580backed Under56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Over80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over80c18.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.746950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over80c18.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.697964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.