Serie A · resolved market
Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92cdb45dac64e392e7b70e75ed7f9cfd895baf3a89159f638ffc839cdcfbf0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Cremoneseof US Cremonese, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed US Cremonese | 34c | 14,893$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,893.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pisa SC | 66c | 7,223$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.31 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Cremonese | 78c | 6,845$5,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.71 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed US Cremonese | 65c | 3,418$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Pisa SC | 66c | 2,161$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.76 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pisa SC | 65c | 1,347$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.55 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pisa SC | 64c | 1,029$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.68 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Pisa SC | 52c | 1,006$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.25 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Pisa SC | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed US Cremonese | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed US Cremonese | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.97 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed US Cremonese | 32c | 632.81$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed US Cremonese | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pisa SC | 64c | 312.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pisa SC | 31c | 297.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed US Cremonese | 69c | 230.43$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed US Cremonese | 59c | 79.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Pisa SC | 70c | 68.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Pisa SC | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pisa SC | 32c | 35.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed US Cremonese | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Pisa SC | 51c | 33.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Pisa SC | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Pisa SC | 61c | 23.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pisa SC | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Pisa SC | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.