Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d0335dcb1d7c18776f6d282f6b17009662b2c700b071101a8109ce27f44ac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,955$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,900$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 977.35$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.36 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 10c | 407.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 69c | 403.69$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 52c | 352.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 48c | 306.47$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 16c | 299.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 52c | 294.1$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 9c | 238$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 164.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 27c | 149.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 137.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…160fbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 49c | 48.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 49c | 38.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 46c | 35.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 51c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed No | 67c | 25.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.