Serie A · resolved market
Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dd0a704adb2433d37d8873e3aea2cf8f8c7ba0159b831f11d3614bd8b04ca80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Cremoneseof US Cremonese, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed US Cremonese | 27c | 5,552$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.96 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pisa SC | 54c | 3,670$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.43 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…3051backed US Cremonese | 67c | 3,049$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pisa SC | 73c | 2,929$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.42 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked US Cremonese | 27c | 2,254$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed US Cremonese | 27c | 1,387$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.83 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Pisa SC | 33c | 1,250$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pisa SC | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed US Cremonese | 34c | 900$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Pisa SC | 37c | 780.23$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pisa SC | 73c | 777$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.21 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Pisa SC | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pisa SC | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Pisa SC | 73c | 599.31$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked US Cremonese | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pisa SC | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pisa SC | 34c | 263.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed US Cremonese | 23c | 258$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked US Cremonese | 28c | 234.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked US Cremonese | 26c | 224$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pisa SC | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed Pisa SC | 72c | 171.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed US Cremonese | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pisa SC | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed US Cremonese | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Pisa SC | 71c | 99.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…5dccbacked US Cremonese | 27c | 67.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed US Cremonese | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pisa SC | 36c | 55.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Pisa SC | 73c | 52.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pisa SC | 58c | 43.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Pisa SC | 73c | 42.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed US Cremonese | 27c | 41.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Pisa SC | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pisa SC | 73c | 40.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…4788backed Pisa SC | 74c | 33.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Pisa SC | 74c | 33.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Pisa SC | 74c | 30.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pisa SC | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed US Cremonese | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Pisa SC | 74c | 26.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked US Cremonese | 63c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Pisa SC | 74c | 22.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pisa SC | 72c | 22.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Pisa SC | 74c | 21.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Pisa SC | 72c | 20.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pisa SC | 58c | 17.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Pisa SC | 74c | 16.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…4e99backed Pisa SC | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Pisa SC | 72c | 15.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Pisa SC | 73c | 15.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f0abacked Pisa SC | 74c | 14.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Pisa SC | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Pisa SC | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)US Cremonese won
- Spread: US Cremonese (-2.5)US Cremonese won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.