Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bdd7b94acb027cd4d002bb4a3237a3fc50f23585ac3a3cfd4ff478a4ca02db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 4,381$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 42c | 4,123$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.19 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 42c | 1,011$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.38 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 624.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.67 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 568.07$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 56c | 535$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 27c | 487.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.75 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 41c | 482.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 49c | 432.84$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 78c | 290.84$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 259.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 58c | 256.49$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 255.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 8c | 230.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 35c | 228.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 58c | 222$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 60c | 212.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 34c | 211.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…8b79backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 80c | 161.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 41c | 159.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 130.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 124.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 44c | 113.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 43c | 100.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 43c | 93.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 43c | 70.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 48c | 70.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 69.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 58c | 68.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 68c | 63.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 35c | 60.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 56c | 47.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 45.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 58c | 41.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 60c | 28.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 62c | 23.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.