South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9d14c220014ed8e14424af77426db3ac851c8fc41cc1e39001b9bbf0da77b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 3,534$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.63 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 55c | 3,363$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.94 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 5c | 1,988$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 46c | 841.12$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.91 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 54c | 490.39$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.58 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 45c | 429.73$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 45c | 429.73$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 366.87$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 77c | 342.96$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 290.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 45c | 283.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Yes | 46c | 277.15$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 60c | 252.84$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 23c | 240.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes | 46c | 236.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 46c | 219.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 45c | 215.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 45c | 214.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…de49backed Yes | 42c | 194.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 16c | 157.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 16c | 146.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed Yes | 46c | 133.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…858fbacked Yes | 17c | 122.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…e1f6backed Yes | 21c | 111.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…f078backed Yes | 18c | 108.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 44c | 98.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 17c | 97.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 40c | 86.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…1ad2backed Yes | 45c | 67.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 17c | 66.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 63.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 62.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 46c | 49.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Yes | 46c | 45.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Yes | 46c | 42.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 57c | 36.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 72c | 34.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 45c | 33.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab83…f117backed Yes | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 59c | 29.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 46c | 29.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 78c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 77c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will CA Independiente vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.