Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ec56c885931ce8f24e6af352f9396f986c4273907523f71f22f09031aa2ba7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,604$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 1,614$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.68 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 22c | 911.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 20c | 706.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 499.23$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 35c | 406.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Over | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 40c | 387.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Under | 75c | 318.12$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 65c | 295.03$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 130.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 118.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…8c21backed Over | 52c | 114.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Over | 22c | 98.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 44c | 70.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 35c | 57.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 34c | 56.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 66c | 51.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 23c | 49.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 49.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 34.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…964fbacked Over | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 66c | 30.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…0093backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 60c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 57c | 18.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5this page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.