Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb157a494a2500631efe3dd1e8843786bb87a1f79c0e5a1c630d72a0a58fbc62a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Over | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 37c | 539.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 63c | 510$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 13c | 424.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 63c | 246.9$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 240.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 211.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 74c | 75.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 58.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 62c | 48.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 61c | 18.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5this page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.