TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ulsan HD FCof Gwangju FC, Ulsan HD FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,110 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c38…291fbacked Gwangju FC5c999.98$50 inLost-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e1…9767backed Gwangju FC9c518.92$47 inLost-$46.720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1324…eb09backed Ulsan HD FC49c235.38$115 inWon+$120.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb011…2447backed Ulsan HD FC49c225.94$111 inWon+$115.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde23…6f34backed Ulsan HD FC49c220.82$108 inWon+$112.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa286…591bbacked Ulsan HD FC49c219.93$108 inWon+$112.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f1e…009abacked Ulsan HD FC49c219.28$107 inWon+$111.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f58…7becbacked Ulsan HD FC49c217.3$106 inWon+$110.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a8…d917backed Ulsan HD FC49c216.57$106 inWon+$110.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…ba2cbacked Ulsan HD FC49c215.67$106 inWon+$109.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2637…0deebacked Ulsan HD FC49c212.69$104 inWon+$108.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ad0…d55cbacked Ulsan HD FC49c212.03$104 inWon+$108.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ff…7898backed Ulsan HD FC49c210.44$103 inWon+$107.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca45…8af9backed Ulsan HD FC49c207.96$102 inWon+$106.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff6f…9e3cbacked Ulsan HD FC49c206.97$101 inWon+$105.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…c156backed Ulsan HD FC49c206.15$101 inWon+$105.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…c7c0backed Ulsan HD FC49c201.8$99 inWon+$102.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.