Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x038794c90442271fddeee9706782121a29eeb491e5830229b49ab8276ac852f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ulsan HD FCof Ulsan HD FC, Gwangju FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Ulsan HD FC | 39c | 830.28$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.28 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Gwangju FC | 58c | 379.31$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Gwangju FC | 62c | 378.36$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gwangju FC | 61c | 337.34$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Ulsan HD FC | 39c | 308.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ulsan HD FC | 44c | 235.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Gwangju FC | 61c | 206.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Ulsan HD FC | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gwangju FC | 61c | 112.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Gwangju FC | 64c | 91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Gwangju FC | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Ulsan HD FC | 36c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Ulsan HD FC | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Gwangju FC | 56c | 44.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Gwangju FC | 63c | 37.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Gwangju FC | 67c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…b869backed Ulsan HD FC | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.