Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dfca42bf4f59dd0997526f88c7ccce4e2c3bd4aeae93cdccd8869e042bfbb13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 44c | 999.98$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.99 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 662.63$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.27 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Under | 22c | 561.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 372.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 355.88$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 78c | 155.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 121.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 50c | 111.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 83.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…516abacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 56c | 65.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 38.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 51c | 38.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 52c | 22.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.