Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44fe99679424ba142c5419f93cac85afb01e6b122ff5c62c5f05b6961eff75c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 1,922$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.23 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,441$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.51 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 43c | 798.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.32 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Over | 47c | 605.49$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 30c | 338.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 48c | 320.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 303.66$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 45c | 244.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…d107backed Over | 45c | 242.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 240.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed Under | 52c | 227.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 46c | 210.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 287 | 32.8%94 W · 193 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 186.75$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 159.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 52c | 114.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 85.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 43c | 82.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 53c | 72.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 66c | 45.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 43.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 39.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 68c | 34.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 29.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 54c | 27.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.