Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54915f72362c9c42361e7f9e161c59ab15030f4f0dc4b35332fb2fff5fb45920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 28c | 4,667$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.63 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 1,647$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.42 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 1,475$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.26 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,149$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.12 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 905.48$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.24 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 16c | 750$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 75c | 660.69$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.36 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 22c | 504.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.15 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 418.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.16 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 293.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.79 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 33c | 291.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 61c | 256.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 69c | 245.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 30c | 173.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 20c | 157.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Under | 62c | 113.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Over | 27c | 102.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 156 | 71.8%112 W · 44 L | +33.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 21c | 83.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 21c | 80.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 41c | 71.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 32c | 61.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 33c | 61.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 67c | 57.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 32c | 57.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Under | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 32c | 48.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 36c | 44.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 73c | 40.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 68c | 30.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 29.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…f44cbacked Under | 67c | 22.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 61c | 17.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.