Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5692889f95e997e9d3865a124f67d4ca14a9b08d58204b130eb49c43df0cccb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 533.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 12c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 23c | 499.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 7c | 480.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 413.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 17c | 400.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 394.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 13c | 364.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 23c | 212.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 187.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 7c | 175.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 74c | 133.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…b740backed No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e2a0backed Yes | 13c | 109.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 89.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…2a69backed Yes | 21c | 63.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 43.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 30c | 34.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked Yes | 33c | 32.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.