Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x040fff34d751f2bea16d2efa72399b1ee5a5c3e34ee705e7cb178dfbce59ec89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 44c | 3,866$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.86 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 3,352$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 56c | 1,154$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 1,087$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.71 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 25c | 868.94$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.24 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 73c | 606.45$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.71 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Yes | 34c | 583.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 73c | 547.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 502.53$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 77c | 497.83$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.33 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 73c | 377.35$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.46 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 334.53$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 322.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 316.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 30c | 301.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 69c | 299.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.97 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 5c | 278.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 66c | 268.2$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 57c | 257.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 199.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 179.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 42c | 176$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 44c | 175.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 26c | 173.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 72c | 170.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 164.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 161.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…26fdbacked No | 40c | 160.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 157.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 150.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 142.59$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 37c | 130.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 44c | 115.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 26c | 104.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 63c | 102.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 44c | 101.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 26c | 84.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 20c | 81.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf982…49b4backed Yes | 69c | 78.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 68c | 76.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 67c | 75.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 63.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 28c | 57.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 29c | 56.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…1075backed No | 58c | 54.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 51.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 35c | 50.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 50c | 46.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 47c | 43.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 39c | 40.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 34c | 40.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 80c | 35.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 44c | 35.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 44c | 35.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 65c | 32.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Yes | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Yes | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 23.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 56c | 20.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed Yes | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 15.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.