Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56c0e5e0a6da04c03b70750d4246d06e1ced2c896f4593bdd9e3a3750aaa3070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 9,555$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.58 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 5,791$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.9 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 5,073$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.93 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 67c | 4,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 24c | 4,204$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 3,732$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.87 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 59c | 3,165$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.45 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 2,062$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.92 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 50c | 1,358$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.36 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.94 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Under | 6c | 1,253$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 5c | 1,224$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 15c | 768.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 726.09$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.63 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 58c | 702.09$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.21 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 9c | 675.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 651.78$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.37 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 625.56$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…bcabbacked Over | 41c | 623.41$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 40c | 601.83$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.83 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 597.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 41c | 505.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 502.54$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.07 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 51c | 486.71$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.91 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 29c | 478.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 58c | 428.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 421.94$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.16 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 58c | 340.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 5c | 339.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 41c | 289.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 39c | 270.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 223.03$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…7590backed Under | 20c | 215.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 74c | 199.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 70c | 183.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 134.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…73b0backed Over | 66c | 129.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Over | 53c | 128.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 80c | 123.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 42c | 117.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 42c | 114.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 44c | 112.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 69c | 107.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 77c | 105.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed Over | 34c | 99.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Over | 78c | 92.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 60c | 91.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Over | 61c | 80.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 62c | 79.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 35c | 78.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Under | 27c | 71.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 70.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 60c | 61.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 31c | 59.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 55c | 52.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 50.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…cfdcbacked Over | 41c | 49.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 48.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Over | 41c | 46.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +62%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 60c | 29.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 40c | 28.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Under | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 60c | 17.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.