TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c7,734$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,821.63,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed No48c3,782$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c9…caf5backed Yes55c3,777$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes50c3,225$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.111283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e68…2d32backed Yes57c2,620$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c2,375$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.192,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c1,478$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.271,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes39c1,237$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2824132%77 W · 164 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No44c1,134$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.8828755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No45c960.14$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.0814447.9%69 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c925$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51529855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fd…dbc5backed Yes55c882$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…0aa3backed No44c715.14$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No45c699.28$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.63948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf08c…19d2backed No44c689.91$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes19c665.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.675024%12 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes51c549.65$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.792245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b9…db66backed Yes56c540$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes56c485.19$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.12669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes34c438.09$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.35195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-76.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes56c424.8$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Yes55c408.66$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes41c399.97$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No46c387.04$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2091030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Yes60c366.08$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.111580%12 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes52c309.48$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes56c293.66$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8733938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed No38c248.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.222941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No45c224.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7926445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No45c222.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.372142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes55c221.59$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.624965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No45c209.18$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5753140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.36645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No60c168.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1181732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No50c168.28$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3715048%72 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked No39c149.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes47c149.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4911142.3%47 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3960…0975backed Yes18c147$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.05714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+130.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked No40c120.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No45c115.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.28540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No46c114.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.054660.9%28 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes42c114.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.252917.2%5 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-57.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No67c99.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.461,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Yes55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes38c96.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.591625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.652254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.716665.2%43 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ecb…26a9backed Yes55c83.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x143b…27dcbacked No59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed No38c76.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed No59c74.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes60c73.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.858224.4%20 W · 62 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes57c68.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.972748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No50c67.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9110647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No46c65.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.647247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No46c63.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1115244.1%67 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed No80c61.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes59c60.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.983234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No47c58.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.866854.4%37 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Yes57c55.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4009…f2b4backed Yes55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.191040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes55c52.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.044969.4%34 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+48.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No39c52.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1410956%61 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed No38c50.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.243154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c5…0b24backed No51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes42c45.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3427142.8%116 W · 155 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.651,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2c…0b53backed No45c44.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Yes56c42.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes58c42.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.375952.5%31 W · 28 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-19.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed Yes53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked No39c39.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.853351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No51c36.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.944042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4610657.5%61 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4619943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Yes55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.462060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.461957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No51c35.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2811159.5%66 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed No57c34.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedad…ed92backed No59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4b…0da9backed Yes42c32.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No45c28.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.89850%49 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No48c27.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.116855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes61c26.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3844655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c96…5099backed Yes55c26.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71d7…3bf3backed Yes57c25.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No52c25.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.379265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No45c24.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6417456.9%99 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8b…ebb0backed Yes56c24.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Yes63c23.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb988…b6eabacked Yes49c23.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+194.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14dc…de4cbacked Yes55c19.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.