Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac67420163f09643807b184908408a69a7f482c7993cc8d934d6255eedd86c08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 63c | 9,624$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.37 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 8,451$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.69 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Over | 63c | 4,500$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 63c | 3,937$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 2,743$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.06 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 64c | 2,610$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 36c | 2,410$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.77 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 2,408$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.14 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 63c | 1,529$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.65 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 37c | 1,446$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.85 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 37c | 1,413$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 63c | 1,346$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.41 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 37c | 1,257$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 1,238$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 1,143$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.94 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Under | 38c | 851.94$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 63c | 799.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 64c | 697.11$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 37c | 644.93$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 37c | 624.16$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 580.93$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.13 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 37c | 518.73$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.93 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 417.39$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 63c | 396.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 37c | 338.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 37c | 316.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 63c | 311.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 64c | 293.92$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 37c | 283.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 37c | 259.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 37c | 259.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 256.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 255.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…47abbacked Over | 63c | 232.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 10c | 222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 36c | 194.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 63c | 194.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 39c | 192.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 37c | 182.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 37c | 171.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 64c | 170.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 37c | 168.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…0b79backed Over | 63c | 156.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 37c | 156.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 153.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 37c | 149.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Under | 37c | 148.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 146.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 37c | 134.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 37c | 129.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 38c | 120.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Over | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf49f…98c8backed Under | 37c | 93.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 37c | 89.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Over | 64c | 88.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 64c | 87.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 82.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 63c | 80.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 63c | 78.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…6b18backed Over | 64c | 76.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 64c | 76.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 63c | 74.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked Under | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Under | 37c | 59.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Under | 37c | 59.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 28c | 58.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 63c | 55.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 62c | 53.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 37c | 53.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 38c | 49.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 64c | 44.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 37c | 42.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 38c | 41.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 40.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 37.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 37c | 37.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 37c | 35.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 64c | 28.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a2e0backed Under | 37c | 27.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e2a0backed Under | 37c | 27.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Over | 64c | 25.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 61c | 24.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.