TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over63c9,624$6,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.376761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c8,451$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.693,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over63c4,500$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.912857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over63c3,937$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.75911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-82.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under37c2,743$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.0669851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over64c2,610$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.171241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under36c2,410$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.773554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under37c2,408$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.1443532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over63c1,529$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.659854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under37c1,446$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.852015%3 W · 17 L-6.7wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-67.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under37c1,413$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over63c1,346$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4116850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under37c1,257$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.1221355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c1,238$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.392,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c1,143$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.941,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under38c851.94$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over63c799.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29629855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over64c697.11$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.969856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under37c644.93$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.631428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under37c624.16$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9420845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over64c580.93$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1318759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under37c518.73$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9317852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over67c417.39$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3933938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over63c396.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5411540.9%47 W · 68 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under37c338.69$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3214652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under37c316.74$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.333946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over63c311.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.389551.6%49 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.071275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over64c293.92$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.811861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under37c283.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.022138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under37c259.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1610647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under37c259.35$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9618554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under39c256.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0964043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c255.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4226445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under8c249.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206861.8%42 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5574…47abbacked Over63c232.81$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under10c222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.28224.4%20 W · 62 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under36c194.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.911643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over63c194.01$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.781752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under39c192.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under37c182.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6711049.1%54 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under37c171.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.34660.9%28 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over64c170.62$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.422853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under37c168.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.272842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4349…0b79backed Over63c156.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under37c156.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7312346.3%57 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over64c153.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2610863%68 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under37c149.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.492147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Under37c148.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.07850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over63c146.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2738845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Under37c134.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.631533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under37c129.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0815048%72 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under38c120.35$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.731650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under20c119$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Over64c97.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under38c96.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.59714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-78.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf49f…98c8backed Under37c93.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under37c89.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.310657.5%61 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Over64c88.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Over64c87.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under37c82.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6215244.1%67 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over63c80.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6128755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over63c78.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.711275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569d…6b18backed Over64c76.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over64c76.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.384969.4%34 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+48.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over63c74.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.592955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under37c65.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.063154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1427…859fbacked Under37c65.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over63c62.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.972157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over64c61.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0113066.9%87 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Under37c59.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Under37c59.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under28c58.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4911159.5%66 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over63c55.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3912056.7%68 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over62c53.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.392060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under37c53.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.243063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under38c49.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.763243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over64c48.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.616369.8%44 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Over64c44.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.141770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under37c42.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.719265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Under38c41.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.572528%7 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over73c40.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.188366.3%55 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over67c37.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.531,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under37c37.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.032055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under37c35.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.491883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c96…5099backed Over64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.011957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Over64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.014100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.012277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+40.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Over64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.011957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over64c29.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.575461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over64c28.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.352254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…a2e0backed Under37c27.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfca2…e2a0backed Under37c27.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Over64c25.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over61c24.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.651566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.