TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro32c28,148$8,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,919.111,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro55c15,996$8,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,873.6940051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports67c15,732$10,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,191.5427153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports58c11,143$6,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,723.296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Virtus.pro33c9,598$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,167.3422848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Tundra Esports67c8,502$5,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.6525248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb042…204cbacked Virtus.pro32c7,643$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.724055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports66c7,513$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.4856955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports67c6,605$4,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.0134544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports69c6,353$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.4289440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports66c5,600$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92829348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9915848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Virtus.pro33c4,855$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.2429143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro33c4,538$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.362,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Virtus.pro45c4,326$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.6535062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports68c4,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30022643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Tundra Esports68c3,896$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.4313068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Virtus.pro53c3,568$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.0316954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Virtus.pro79c3,432$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.5636547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro33c3,281$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.641242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports46c3,202$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.931,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports60c3,087$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.8160552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf8…2f4abacked Virtus.pro1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305034%17 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports67c2,941$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports69c2,863$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.1856852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Tundra Esports45c2,787$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.841,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Virtus.pro54c2,661$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.343344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Virtus.pro33c2,613$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.9139042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Tundra Esports67c2,586$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.3826540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Virtus.pro32c2,503$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8113228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports44c2,485$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4031,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Tundra Esports55c2,481$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.319650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro33c2,470$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.0558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Tundra Esports43c2,394$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.125747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Virtus.pro33c2,252$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.9430336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports66c2,216$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.2932854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports67c2,139$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.9341351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Virtus.pro35c2,136$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.6922647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed Virtus.pro33c1,999$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.653450%17 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Virtus.pro33c1,976$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.531553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports68c1,962$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.7149455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Tundra Esports69c1,933$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.3918356.8%104 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Tundra Esports50c1,872$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.3347046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro52c1,737$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.061,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b3…f473backed Tundra Esports68c1,668$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5381560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro34c1,500$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50525147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9933541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro39c1,250$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro32c1,238$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.2950832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro33c1,192$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.521,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Virtus.pro33c1,169$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.6231644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Tundra Esports67c1,156$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.3586659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports55c1,155$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2348954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports52c1,126$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.5245061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro38c1,044$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.4747650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports44c1,009$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.2999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tundra Esports34c1,002$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.2367043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34060349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro47c999.98$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9942145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Tundra Esports62c975.2$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0732652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…d235backed Virtus.pro38c897.72$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.811744.4%52 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Virtus.pro33c872.55$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9434051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro33c869.64$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.981,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Virtus.pro57c850$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48820043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa162…479dbacked Tundra Esports70c805$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports68c804.42$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.461,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27250769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Tundra Esports69c800$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2489850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Virtus.pro62c774.24$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.9733041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Tundra Esports67c765.42$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5135951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Tundra Esports70c746.49$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9519742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Tundra Esports63c699.72$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.918550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Tundra Esports77c667.68$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2510751.4%55 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Virtus.pro46c651.6$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2148843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Tundra Esports68c615.88$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0811154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Tundra Esports68c604.59$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4727143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a9…3bb6backed Virtus.pro40c597.13$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0610546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtus.pro36c585.8$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5189938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Tundra Esports47c574.52$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.1243049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked Tundra Esports65c550.33$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3410262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro48c541.34$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.6992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb05…ed70backed Tundra Esports68c523.09$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.394856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Virtus.pro5c499.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2463032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Virtus.pro32c498.71$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3836759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Tundra Esports68c492.64$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6418739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Tundra Esports53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3710541%43 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Tundra Esports69c459.93$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.585046%23 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports42c459.84$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.854445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports55c447.33$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8496245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Virtus.pro32c443.81$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0217651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Virtus.pro48c440.87$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.838328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Virtus.pro48c440.56$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4716152.2%84 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Virtus.pro33c433.39$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7925935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c9…3616backed Tundra Esports67c425$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2516350.9%83 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Virtus.pro16c381.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9937018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro33c372.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8151751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports68c360.59$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3926453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d5…dc17backed Tundra Esports78c338.78$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.257376.7%56 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Virtus.pro32c333.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5317330.1%52 W · 121 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.