Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb7e93139180eba16cf0f0e405a0b47521bd30ebd9e4c9c84dcd44a608cb241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Tundra Esports, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 31,897$9,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,219.38 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 10,803$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.83 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 9,000$6,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,209.98 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 8,473$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.45 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 7,507$5,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.89 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 7,000$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 6,246$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.74 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 6,133$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.44 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 5,000$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.5 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 4,601$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.9 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 4,388$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 3,891$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.58 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 3,755$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.88 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 3,743$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.35 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 3,570$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.1 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 3,435$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.23 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 3,141$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.14 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Tundra Esports | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,867$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.92 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,612$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.5 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports | 2c | 2,558$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,273$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.07 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,212$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.59 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14a…4254backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 1,846$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 1,783$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.73 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,759$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.61 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 1,750$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.2 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,574$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.57 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,503$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,473$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.1 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,416$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.42 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,415$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.52 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,252$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.36 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 1,240$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.92 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,142$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.74 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,050$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.84 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 930.45$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.12 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 820.11$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 792.73$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.91 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 769.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 8c | 715.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 681.22$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.35 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 671.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.15 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 648.73$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 638.58$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.08 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 614.41$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.94 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 608.39$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.89 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 595.76$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.09 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…0298backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 517.31$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 504.91$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 413.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 383.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.24 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 352.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 345.93$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 331.04$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.51 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 309.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 305.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 296.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 266.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 264.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 261.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 241.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 224.2$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 220.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 218.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 216.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Tundra Esports | 21c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 198.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 196.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 191.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c511backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 184.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Tundra Esports | 11c | 183$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Tundra Esports | 11c | 183$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 176$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 155.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 141.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e2…c2b9backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 134.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 133$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 129.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 128.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…2483backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 122.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 115.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 109.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 107.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.