Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x277793e96d169b3a09db2859b44dbf897f24c6aabd71be05b19c2346c77aeb3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Tundra Esports, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $691,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 226,298$49,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,734.1 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 195,517$152,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,503.45 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 14,998$7,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,747.13 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 14,662$11,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,436.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 12,388$7,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.18 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 10,130$8,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 10,062$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.45 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 9,980$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,185.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 8,447$6,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,124.38 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 8,194$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.88 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 7,443$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.29 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 7,016$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.4 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 5,978$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 5,544$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.87 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 5,108$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.93 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 4,913$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.23 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 4,886$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.7 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 4,603$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.08 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 4,427$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.4 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 4,326$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.57 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 4,200$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.99 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 3,999$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 3,831$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.59 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 3,757$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.13 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 3,705$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.9 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 3,300$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.99 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 3,200$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 3,197$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.92 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 3,017$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.12 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,824$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.26 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 2,806$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.92 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,770$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.46 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 2,670$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.82 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,650$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.96 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…3507backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 2,641$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 2,551$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.82 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,541$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.3 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 2,500$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 2,489$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.19 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,488$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.64 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 2,474$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.75 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 2,403$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.01 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 2,337$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.32 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 2,293$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.49 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,271$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.67 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 2,221$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.85 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 2,009$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.11 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,987$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,983$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.98 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,968$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.46 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…f473backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,965$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,877$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.24 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 1,832$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.68 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,767$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.49 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,711$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.35 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,673$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.33 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,657$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.12 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,630$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.76 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,616$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.25 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Tundra Esports | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,563$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.46 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,537$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.4 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,472$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.5 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,396$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.71 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,350$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.73 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 1,318$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.28 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,315$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.68 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,310$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.5 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,305$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.35 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,296$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.16 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,288$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.61 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,283$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.46 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 1,261$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 1,245$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.85 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 1,240$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 1,238$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,228$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.06 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 1,206$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.03 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 1,187$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.69 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,185$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,155$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.4 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 1,125$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.25 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,104$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.16 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,100$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.74 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,060$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.78 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,026$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.42 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +127%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 999.03$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.82 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 996.24$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.75 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 986.8$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.7 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 982.6$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.65 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 965$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 947.74$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.94 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 942$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.