La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c09db6abbe01d6d6265034c0cc20ba69b4dd627ffebcd474422b83be9bece08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6492…de49backed Yes | 16c | 4,748$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 40c | 4,637$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.85 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 3,684$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.76 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,943$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +222%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 2,916$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.17 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 1,651$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed No | 61c | 1,601$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 14c | 1,426$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.95 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 50c | 937.73$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.86 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 13c | 905.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 822.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 597$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Yes | 10c | 526.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 37c | 521.34$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 14c | 520.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 41c | 510.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 489.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 49c | 483.64$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 50c | 387.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 330.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 310.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 291$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 20c | 271.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked No | 60c | 261.11$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked No | 59c | 256.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 9c | 217.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…82c8backed Yes | 9c | 204.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…ba40backed Yes | 15c | 194.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 13c | 182.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed No | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 58c | 172.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 14c | 169.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed No | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed No | 59c | 157.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 141.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 42c | 137.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes | 15c | 131.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…9d28backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…5e5fbacked Yes | 15c | 115.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 42c | 105.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb7…c795backed Yes | 14c | 95.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 94.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 89.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 39c | 83.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Yes | 43c | 82.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes | 42c | 82.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 67.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 66c | 61.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed No | 58c | 56.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…ae72backed Yes | 43c | 53.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 44c | 49.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…4382backed Yes | 41c | 42.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…7537backed No | 59c | 41.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 41c | 33.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 77c | 27.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 58c | 27.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 57c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Yes | 43c | 26.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 55cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 61c | 25.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…9f86backed Yes | 41c | 24.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 80c | 21.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 71c | 14.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-04-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.