Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2d4f0d6518b44d3a15304efdd700e118d06c60e1ca2f140f5535a4cdb430466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 53c | 1,338$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 28c | 1,088$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.43 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 67c | 999.94$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 874.49$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 16c | 397.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 33c | 360$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 256.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 207.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 41c | 205.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 201.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked Under | 44c | 198.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed Over | 40c | 180.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 35c | 165.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 145.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 128.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 127.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 58c | 126.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 69c | 116.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 33c | 115.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 35c | 109.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 59c | 87.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Under | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Under | 66c | 69.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 34c | 56.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 23c | 53.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 28c | 50.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 37c | 47.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 47c | 42.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 65c | 40.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 33c | 39.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 56c | 38.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 77c | 34.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…9258backed Under | 59c | 30.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 44c | 29.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 18.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 17.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5this page
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.