Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8be757bed9f02e3d46524c89fe244f4b93da43ec5d71a0b0957ddc2fc933f12b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaziantep FKof Gaziantep FK, Kayserispor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kayserispor | 76c | 490.48$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Gaziantep FK | 23c | 318$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gaziantep FK | 57c | 249.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Kayserispor | 79c | 130.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Gaziantep FK | 23c | 99.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Gaziantep FK | 21c | 81.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kayserispor | 77c | 73.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed Gaziantep FK | 21c | 66.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Kayserispor | 58c | 32.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Gaziantep FK | 42c | 31.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kayserispor | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Gaziantep FK | 64c | 22.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Gaziantep FK | 69c | 19.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Kayserispor | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)this page
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.