Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3700c1976017269961dbc66f9adc20e44de357d4468ab3a19f313017aaa080f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 3,594$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Over | 52c | 2,870$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 58c | 1,951$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.57 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 1,907$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.87 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 27c | 1,209$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.16 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 1,122$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.69 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,009$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.48 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 57c | 787.58$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.35 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 782.63$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.89 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 782.36$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.24 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 58c | 543.87$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 16c | 476$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 427.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 43c | 417.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 394.84$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 361.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 233.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 233.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 18c | 232.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 53c | 203.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 190.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d010backed Under | 23c | 173.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 158.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 63c | 155$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 41c | 144.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 79c | 138.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 52c | 107.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 104.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…88aabacked Over | 63c | 99.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 57c | 80.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 45c | 69.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…468abacked Over | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 51.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 56c | 51.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 41.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 67c | 41.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 37c | 38.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 57c | 34.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 44c | 30.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 44c | 29.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8ce7backed Over | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 46c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 47c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 69c | 18.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Over | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5this page
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.