Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace3a1bbab1f6dab98afeae18b77bc064387dd09fe55f4909cc0860d4bbbd4d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaziantep FKof Kayserispor, Gaziantep FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe296…afebbacked Kayserispor | 5c | 1,003$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2852…ffb7backed Kayserispor | 5c | 987$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…7c20backed Kayserispor | 5c | 985$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…45f4backed Kayserispor | 4c | 947$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…2082backed Kayserispor | 5c | 931$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…b35ebacked Kayserispor | 5c | 872$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…044fbacked Kayserispor | 3c | 865$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…694ebacked Kayserispor | 5c | 850$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7c…b8c7backed Kayserispor | 5c | 831$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea23…4c65backed Kayserispor | 5c | 831$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef09…3548backed Kayserispor | 3c | 820$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…684abacked Kayserispor | 5c | 806$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…0c98backed Kayserispor | 5c | 786$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…4bf7backed Kayserispor | 4c | 781$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…8d08backed Kayserispor | 3c | 775$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f5…1e9bbacked Kayserispor | 3c | 763$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae4…7e61backed Kayserispor | 4c | 761$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…eab2backed Kayserispor | 3c | 754$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kayserispor | 4c | 530.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5)this page
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gaziantep FK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.