South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f8d48f3d4ab67fbf61d2d43a147ff17fe7806ba1d4a63ff7aef720fab7cba44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 2,590$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,003$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.87 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 777.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 44c | 610.72$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.04 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 56c | 608.5$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.74 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 54c | 592.31$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 429.08$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 50c | 407.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 357.59$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 54c | 326.59$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 50c | 296.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 35c | 284.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 71c | 158.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 49c | 136.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 59c | 115.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 114.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 37c | 110.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 17c | 96.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 50c | 93.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 89.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 64c | 63.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Under | 80c | 62.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 48c | 61.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 57.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 51c | 56.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 61c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed Under | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 24c | 50.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 48c | 50.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…f3c8backed Under | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over | 55c | 19.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Under | 63c | 18.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 4.5this page
- Club León FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Club León FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.