South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c9bbb04ef16ab7c4e752ecb668fb099e9105102c73ac75095e9b9105e6c44fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 3,074$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 14c | 2,039$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c9…e341backed Under | 40c | 1,125$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea1…3183backed Under | 41c | 1,062$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…dac4backed Under | 42c | 960.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 67c | 628.46$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.33 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 32c | 423$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Under | 56c | 306.31$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 54c | 285.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 141.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 128.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 33c | 75.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 69.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 39c | 63.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 52.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under | 40c | 48.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 39.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 46c | 36.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 57c | 17.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5this page
- Club León FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Club León FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.