South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc1a983135065bb063e42a95fe4865f8cd3331f2a47804713fcbb7362b0f928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5664…93ddbacked Under | 48c | 6,936$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 51c | 3,227$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.26 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 47c | 2,668$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.64 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 1,467$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.7 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 1,269$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.91 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,078$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 1,005$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 47c | 986.51$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.79 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 45c | 925.51$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Over | 52c | 847.89$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 37c | 772.5$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 589.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.69 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 517.13$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.32 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 382.18$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 50c | 360$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 71c | 294.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 54c | 262.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 261.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 10c | 238.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 53c | 204.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 52c | 203.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 52c | 163.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 149.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 80c | 126.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…b36fbacked Over | 53c | 105.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…617cbacked Under | 48c | 104.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 99.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…b61abacked Under | 48c | 82.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed Over | 53c | 81.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 49c | 77.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 49c | 72.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 68.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 52c | 67.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 52c | 64.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 64.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 52c | 57.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 53c | 54.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 49c | 51.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 44.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…0888backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 54c | 30.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 52c | 27.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 51c | 26.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 52c | 25.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 51c | 24.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 54c | 18.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5this page
- Club León FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Club León FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.