Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Petra Marcinko vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc720428a227ced7c22ca108d09c033facb2a899d715a296d1cab57fc6aee60ed

Rebuilt 44 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Petra Marcinkoof Petra Marcinko, Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $119,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $126,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,185 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	11c	12,168$1,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,364.43	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	17c	8,831$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.49	278	46%128 W · 150 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	3c	7,403$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.35	2,523	39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	11c	6,471$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.67	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Petra Marcinko	72c	4,779$3,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.24	245	57.6%141 W · 104 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	28c	2,544$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.25	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2d…0344backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	19c	2,528$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.64	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x102f…91d6backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	28c	2,494$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	10c	1,846$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.06	1,444	38%548 W · 896 L	-46.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	33c	1,309$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.86	1,284	39.2%503 W · 781 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Petra Marcinko	67c	1,270$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.21	299	52.2%156 W · 143 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	18c	1,227$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.6	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	18c	1,200$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.11	301	31.9%96 W · 205 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0203…c2f7backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	10c	999.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	23c	829.39$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.76	434	49.1%213 W · 221 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fe…38c8backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	18c	776.7$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.81	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	14c	773.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.72	380	13.9%53 W · 327 L	-38.3wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	13c	568.68$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.93	853	48.7%415 W · 438 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	7c	526.05$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.82	721	32%231 W · 490 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	14c	516.46$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.23	226	34.5%78 W · 148 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	18c	516.41$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.1	1,428	48.2%689 W · 739 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0036…553ebacked Petra Marcinko	75c	464.58$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.64	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Petra Marcinko	72c	434.75$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.04	521	55.3%288 W · 233 L	+27.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Petra Marcinko	72c	395.56$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.54	4,934	41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L	-77.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	5c	383.16$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	13c	364.54$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.39	181	33.1%60 W · 121 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	13c	361.4$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.98	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	15c	354.29$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.14	482	14.1%68 W · 414 L	-14.8wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	28c	336$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.08	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ab…7ad1backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	29c	327.98$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.75	157	34.4%54 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Petra Marcinko	70c	314.33$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.61	567	57.1%324 W · 243 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Petra Marcinko	72c	300.42$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.12	1,923	55.4%1,066 W · 857 L	-44.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	9c	300$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	9,286	44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L	-245.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	8c	290.38$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+6.1wins	+0.20per pick	29cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	13c	284.34$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	604	46.7%282 W · 322 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	28c	264$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.92	336	47.3%159 W · 177 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	14c	263.51$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	15c	201.48$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.42	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Petra Marcinko	71c	199.93$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.98	1,076	55.5%597 W · 479 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	28c	180$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	868	35.4%307 W · 561 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	15c	173.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.18	2,417	50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L	+78.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd1…34efbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	7c	168.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa223…0894backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	29c	165.07$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.87	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	13c	162.62$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	735	49.8%366 W · 369 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	28c	161.23$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.29	2,229	45%1,002 W · 1,227 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	19c	160.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	29c	150.81$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	171	45.6%78 W · 93 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	13c	147.17$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	221	13.6%30 W · 191 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	27c	145.4$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Petra Marcinko	72c	136.56$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.24	150	70%105 W · 45 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	13c	129.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	5,350	56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L	+228.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	12c	120$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	579	53.7%311 W · 268 L	+19.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	19c	119.78$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.76	619	24.4%151 W · 468 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1112…90dbbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	12c	114.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Petra Marcinko	72c	98.32$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.53	245	46.5%114 W · 131 L	-13.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Petra Marcinko	79c	90.43$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.59	671	78.7%528 W · 143 L	+49.1wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	18c	85.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	-74.2wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1d30…89ccbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	23c	83.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.07	174	50%87 W · 87 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf4c…21babacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	25c	77.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.12	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	28c	75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1,151	48.7%560 W · 591 L	+8.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	28c	74.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	2,462	38.5%948 W · 1,514 L	+93.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Petra Marcinko	71c	69.2$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.07	242	59.9%145 W · 97 L	-12.1wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Petra Marcinko	79c	69.12$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.51	2,761	53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L	+73.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Petra Marcinko	72c	68.54$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.19	202	70.8%143 W · 59 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Petra Marcinko	78c	59.21$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.03	882	73.5%648 W · 234 L	+19.8wins	+0.02per pick	71cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	3,901	50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa589…96fcbacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f5…f3c8backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	29c	49.52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	29c	49.52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	185	45.4%84 W · 101 L	+8.3wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Petra Marcinko	75c	49.25$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	553	60.4%334 W · 219 L	+32.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Petra Marcinko	72c	47.76$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.37	572	67.3%385 W · 187 L	+33.5wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Petra Marcinko	80c	46.93$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.48	918	80.5%739 W · 179 L	+39.3wins	+0.04per pick	76cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Petra Marcinko	79c	42.86$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	29c	42.65$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	320	43.8%140 W · 180 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Petra Marcinko	77c	37.4$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.44	102	42.2%43 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	28c	36.94$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Petra Marcinko	72c	27.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	364	64.3%234 W · 130 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1f5b…7216backed Petra Marcinko	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	147	70.7%104 W · 43 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Petra Marcinko	68c	19.62$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.22	1,794	60.2%1,080 W · 714 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed Petra Marcinko	70c	15.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.58	178	48.9%87 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Madrid Open: Petra Marcinko vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevathis page
Set Handicap: Marcinko (-1.5) vs Kasintseva (+1.5)Marcinko won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Madrid Open: Petra Marcinko vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event