Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d3b0287fd0ea57e99a486874f4071c2fba0cf48727fc3f8379760b26ce56e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 29c | 1,002$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.61 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…25b5backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 370 | 7.8%29 W · 341 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 447.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 33c | 250.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 70c | 244.7$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 69c | 227.71$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed No | 68c | 227.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…8344backed No | 68c | 195.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 19c | 194.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 28c | 180.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 15c | 160$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 44c | 159.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 128.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 65c | 111.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 62c | 100.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 80c | 99.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 25c | 98.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 21c | 98.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 38c | 96.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 71c | 95.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed No | 64c | 93.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 32c | 93.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked No | 70c | 92.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 68c | 91.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…4629backed Yes | 23c | 85.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 29c | 83.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…98dfbacked Yes | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 74c | 79.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 78.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 70c | 77.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 70c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes | 40c | 75.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 31c | 69.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 17c | 68.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 21c | 68.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 31c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 58.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 71c | 58.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 32c | 51.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 32c | 51.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…9240backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 70c | 47.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 24c | 47.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 74c | 47.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…b91bbacked Yes | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 34c | 44.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 34c | 41.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…a6e5backed No | 75c | 39.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 75c | 35.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 27.7%46 W · 120 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 69c | 30.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 73c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 70c | 24.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 71c | 24.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 74c | 23.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 77c | 22.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 68c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 69c | 21.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 68c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…e5c6backed No | 75c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.