South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0187eddececaf31cad8a4accd384fafcf2e77b85ca144fd63dfe3d2cf7e7726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 58c | 65,391$37,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,926.81 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 29,836$12,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,304.91 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 13,967$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,106.82 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 59c | 9,942$5,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,865.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 8,991$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,257.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 42c | 8,763$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 42c | 2,991$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.05 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Over | 43c | 2,142$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 59c | 1,694$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 33c | 1,650$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 54c | 1,610$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.6 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 41c | 1,032$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.94 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 41c | 964.6$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.11 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 41c | 760.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.42 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 620$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 460.41$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.39 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 456.56$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 55c | 344.38$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 341$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 301.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 33c | 293.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 40c | 273.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.11 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 259.72$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 43c | 259.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 45c | 245.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 38c | 224.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 42c | 165.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 60c | 165.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 41c | 138.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 136.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 56c | 121$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 106.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 62c | 99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 36c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 14c | 87.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Over | 77c | 85.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…c9e9backed Under | 62c | 83.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 81.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 42c | 80.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a4aabacked Over | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 42c | 59.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 57c | 57.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 64c | 45.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Under | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Under | 71c | 44.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 42c | 41.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 49c | 38.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 56c | 38.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 36.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 41c | 36.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 46c | 34.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…a5efbacked Over | 44c | 33.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 53c | 30.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 53c | 28.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 41c | 28.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Over | 48c | 26.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 50c | 26.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 53c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 58c | 17.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…2075backed Over | 76c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)FC Juárez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.