South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe0643d53e83de92a1d71ad44d3072cff2418b6442974bad751336273fca33f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 36c | 27,164$9,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,779.07 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 64c | 7,403$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.95 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 6,816$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 64c | 4,274$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.78 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…93ddbacked Over | 58c | 2,325$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 1,373$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.33 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 1,226$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 38c | 1,031$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 62c | 1,029$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.15 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 892.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.91 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 881.59$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 64c | 634.57$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.96 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 22c | 424.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 64c | 388.42$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 37c | 374.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 42c | 333.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 41c | 223.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 64c | 176.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 64c | 152.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…baebbacked Under | 14c | 128.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 72c | 114.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Under | 50c | 96.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 64c | 81.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over | 62c | 73.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 44c | 73.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 44c | 70.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 65c | 61.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 53c | 58.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 38c | 52.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 63c | 43.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 42c | 37.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Under | 40c | 37.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 64c | 32.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 64c | 32.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 42c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 64c | 31.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Over | 61c | 31.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e2a0backed Over | 64c | 23.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 64c | 21.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3bbebacked Over | 64c | 20.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…0483backed Over | 58c | 19.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)FC Juárez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.