South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8c4e58ad1ce7ef3c6ae5b1dd25dc239a05b901c06d899beb37001d461cc7011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pumas de la UNAMof Pumas de la UNAM, FC Juárez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pumas de la UNAM | 13c | 1,391$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.42 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed FC Juárez | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed FC Juárez | 71c | 975.88$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Pumas de la UNAM | 31c | 870.06$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.41 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Juárez | 70c | 449.56$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Pumas de la UNAM | 29c | 422.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pumas de la UNAM | 8c | 302.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.43 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pumas de la UNAM | 28c | 176.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Juárez | 68c | 162.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed FC Juárez | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Pumas de la UNAM | 28c | 122.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 28c | 88.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed FC Juárez | 67c | 82.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed FC Juárez | 69c | 70.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Juárez | 71c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed FC Juárez | 69c | 40.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed FC Juárez | 69c | 38.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked FC Juárez | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked FC Juárez | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed FC Juárez | 71c | 25.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked FC Juárez | 78c | 19.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed FC Juárez | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)FC Juárez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.