La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdb2dd920543181a592cdeddb82af63c0a7baa4aed68f4c2067b12509bad954a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 52,738$41,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,495.83 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 25,099$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,507.64 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 6c | 7,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 2,574$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.21 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 2,255$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.05 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,575$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 51c | 1,384$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.88 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked No | 5c | 1,259$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +8.1wins | +0.58per pick | 6cpaid | +977.1%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 1,046$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.96 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 900$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 39cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes | 25c | 670$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 7c | 666.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 41c | 639.39$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.61 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 26c | 621.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.04 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 6c | 511$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 54c | 299.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 260.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…abfabacked No | 78c | 245.27$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 6c | 223.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 211.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 26c | 195.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 26c | 192.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…63afbacked Yes | 26c | 192.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +285%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…65a3backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 55c | 132.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 26c | 114.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 65c | 100.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…d729backed Yes | 78c | 97.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 27c | 96.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 24c | 78.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Yes | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +214.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 23c | 54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 23c | 47.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…8561backed Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…5ffbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 73c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.