La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c671bd8a48263cc90c949655a9ac350bbc36b97246e4bc774ba7516e40836d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 56c | 9,650$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,245.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 41c | 8,049$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 45c | 999.46$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked No | 5c | 800$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +8.1wins | +0.58per pick | 6cpaid | +977.1%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 749.72$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.59 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 38c | 602.38$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 55c | 365$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 10c | 235$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 193.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 60c | 187$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 55c | 166.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 156.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 55c | 153.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Yes | 41c | 142.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…03cabacked No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…5826backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 56c | 81.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 41c | 72.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 35c | 70.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 43c | 69.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 64c | 68.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…5664backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df8…9d80backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed No | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a59…57a8backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d55…6014backed Yes | 42c | 34.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 56c | 22.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed No | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.