TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,372,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,374,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,372,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked No0c12,127$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.254440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No7c4,603$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.196883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2615…fe8cbacked No7c4,209$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88dd…13f0backed No4c3,992$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb074…40a8backed No3c3,971$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafa3…1b62backed No4c3,969$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No4c3,963$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.347631.6%24 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84a6…e9cabacked No4c3,819$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc022…065abacked No6c3,517$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbdbf…bd68backed No3c3,501$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.53450%2 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,252.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb1a…c6cfbacked No7c3,422$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d35…119dbacked No7c3,411$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fc…b572backed No4c3,303$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+1,415.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe150…6874backed No8c3,209$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6515…a41ebacked No7c3,002$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294d…8933backed No3c2,989$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c5…1ae6backed No4c2,955$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c69…7990backed No3c2,935$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6096…4b88backed No3c2,925$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b33…81c5backed No3c2,876$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b9…b986backed No5c2,871$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa82…e97dbacked No7c2,869$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fd…c0fbbacked No3c2,840$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb4…9f05backed No8c2,832$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d0…03e0backed No8c2,758$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+994.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3106…3032backed No4c2,745$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x932f…3e5dbacked No7c2,723$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fe…7d69backed No3c2,678$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde38…86e9backed No4c2,675$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf8…0640backed No7c2,672$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3943…f3c1backed No10c2,645$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d15…9bbcbacked No5c2,595$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7a…c5c5backed No4c2,594$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2349…1512backed No3c2,549$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6637…12f5backed No10c2,539$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac1…671cbacked No3c2,507$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce10…bb32backed No5c2,504$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No3c2,497$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.574827.1%13 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842e…cc18backed No6c2,488$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f53…b34bbacked No4c2,412$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe978…a454backed No10c2,402$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea08…2ad0backed No3c2,302$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ab…76adbacked No4c2,294$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x082b…4a7dbacked No5c2,290$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3bd…ccdfbacked No4c2,289$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9527…2d08backed No3c2,282$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa08a…874bbacked No5c2,264$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66dc…f02ebacked No8c2,259$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c78…e0f8backed No3c2,255$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…45a0backed No3c2,248$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x897c…1cb4backed No4c2,221$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick4cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…158abacked No4c2,199$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5909…24debacked No3c2,197$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2659…01c0backed No4c2,175$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a2…9950backed No3c2,173$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc816…ed6abacked No3c2,135$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1887…4114backed No3c2,121$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No3c2,103$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.445313.2%7 W · 46 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-80.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf28f…a745backed No3c2,101$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa873…b8d0backed No4c2,086$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba1…412cbacked No3c2,051$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c93…9562backed No6c2,037$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6e…728dbacked No3c2,037$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4200…930ebacked No3c2,028$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61c…cd83backed No4c2,007$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6444…2b03backed No4c2,005$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f3…5721backed No10c1,991$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c7e…e372backed No7c1,990$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6e…b0d8backed No4c1,977$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f94…6a5dbacked No4c1,966$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x620d…e029backed No3c1,961$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…545cbacked No3c1,961$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3b…3cb1backed No4c1,952$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…17d0backed No7c1,928$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e5…5361backed No4c1,916$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304e…9d5bbacked No7c1,910$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe99c…9828backed No4c1,893$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…ea93backed No6c1,875$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e12…061bbacked No6c1,872$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c28…7833backed No3c1,868$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a01…2028backed No4c1,867$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…3b2abacked No3c1,867$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf283…74acbacked No3c1,856$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…d08fbacked No6c1,847$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9885…1a8fbacked No3c1,817$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2297…7f71backed No3c1,812$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60fb…fd62backed No3c1,812$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab9…95b5backed No11c1,804$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x110b…8d7ebacked No3c1,787$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69c…77c6backed No3c1,770$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8542…628ebacked No7c1,760$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2322backed No3c1,740$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b76…acaabacked No6c1,727$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…d05dbacked No3c1,724$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce34…eb25backed No4c1,723$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fed…cfa3backed No7c1,716$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…2371backed No4c1,715$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dff…7f3fbacked No8c1,704$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.73728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick8cpaid+212.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6e…d10dbacked No4c1,703$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c4b…138bbacked No5c1,696$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.