MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78eb416971edfae99fb8e5350e70d86061a7e533b188a342432f469fecb0ec89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 62c | 40,251$24,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,467.72 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Astros | 52c | 33,539$17,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,520 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 35c | 12,566$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.62 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 29c | 11,253$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Athletics | 61c | 10,587$6,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.36 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ed37backed Astros | 59c | 8,980$5,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,332.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 59c | 7,635$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.91 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Astros | 37c | 6,491$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.31 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Astros | 31c | 6,462$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 50c | 5,891$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.72 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 42c | 4,650$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Astros | 55c | 4,411$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 58c | 4,176$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.48 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 29c | 3,934$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.88 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 42c | 3,649$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.09 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Athletics | 54c | 3,150$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.06 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 52c | 3,008$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Astros | 33c | 2,740$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 58c | 2,718$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.18 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 57c | 2,540$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.6 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Astros | 55c | 2,414$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.74 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros | 56c | 2,233$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.66 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 70c | 2,057$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Athletics | 74c | 1,880$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.54 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Astros | 53c | 1,637$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 30c | 1,539$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.38 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 38c | 1,498$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.61 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 51c | 1,361$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Astros | 45c | 1,330$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.23 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…49c3backed Astros | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Astros | 7c | 1,240$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Athletics | 51c | 1,231$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.2 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Athletics | 75c | 1,129$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.35 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Athletics | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.96 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Astros | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 45c | 1,006$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.4 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Astros | 57c | 885$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 41c | 847$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.73 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Astros | 59c | 846.22$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.94 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 61c | 811.09$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Astros | 55c | 787.69$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.23 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Athletics | 64c | 775.16$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 3c | 754$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Astros | 24c | 744.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…095cbacked Astros | 29c | 741.31$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Astros | 39c | 716$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.88 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros | 2c | 700.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Athletics | 49c | 697.2$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.62 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 29c | 648.28$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Athletics | 42c | 621.83$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.66 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 49c | 564.87$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Astros | 55c | 452.22$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 24c | 451.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Astros | 51c | 446.56$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.9 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Astros | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 56c | 394.64$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Athletics | 79c | 386.96$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Astros | 31c | 386.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Astros | 53c | 378.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Astros | 27c | 376.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 41c | 362$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Astros | 57c | 361.34$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Athletics | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Astros | 56c | 334.95$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Athletics | 72c | 325.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Astros | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Astros | 45c | 299.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Astros | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Astros | 54c | 284$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros | 39c | 279.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 22c | 251.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 43c | 247.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 8c | 235.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 44c | 227.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Athletics | 54c | 224.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…d51dbacked Astros | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Astros | 47c | 213.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Astros | 57c | 205.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 55c | 199.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Astros | 59c | 193.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 11c | 191.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Athletics | 44c | 183.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Astros | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Astros | 23c | 172.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Astros | 40c | 163$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Astros | 31c | 155.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…d72fbacked Astros | 57c | 151.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Astros | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…6746backed Astros | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.