Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nebraska Omaha vs. St. John's
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cfd426e1d05753cdee3535920f8c82724e95e5eb335796ea1c412c8dcc19c9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John'sof Nebraska Omaha, St. John's
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Nebraska Omaha | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nebraska Omaha | 3c | 15,350$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…7bb6backed Nebraska Omaha | 10c | 7,490$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nebraska Omaha | 8c | 5,200$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.7 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nebraska Omaha | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Nebraska Omaha | 7c | 4,581$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Nebraska Omaha | 9c | 3,367$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Nebraska Omaha | 2c | 2,700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Nebraska Omaha | 7c | 1,471$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nebraska Omaha | 8c | 1,295$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nebraska Omaha | 5c | 1,200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Nebraska Omaha | 5c | 1,147$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…88a7backed Nebraska Omaha | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…2864backed Nebraska Omaha | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79d…0203backed Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 670.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…6cc2backed Nebraska Omaha | 7c | 650.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Nebraska Omaha | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nebraska Omaha | 14c | 528.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2998…b425backed Nebraska Omaha | 2c | 504$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nebraska Omaha | 8c | 496.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Nebraska Omaha | 7c | 430$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nebraska Omaha | 14c | 364.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…5b0ebacked Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 339.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Nebraska Omaha | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nebraska Omaha | 5c | 292.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…6c10backed Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…5bfbbacked Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 214.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nebraska Omaha | 10c | 208.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Nebraska Omaha | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Nebraska Omaha | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…1140backed Nebraska Omaha | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…dff1backed Nebraska Omaha | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Nebraska Omaha | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Nebraska Omaha | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Nebraska Omaha | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…0565backed Nebraska Omaha | 15c | 135.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Nebraska Omaha | 10c | 124.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Nebraska Omaha | 12c | 121.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…f038backed Nebraska Omaha | 14c | 109.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…65dabacked Nebraska Omaha | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…f969backed Nebraska Omaha | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.