TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Guardians vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof Guardians, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Guardians55c95,572$52,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,288.610844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox46c56,268$25,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,291.271,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked White Sox44c30,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,80048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed White Sox45c16,186$7,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,874.2997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked White Sox49c10,469$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,314.688540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed White Sox70c9,729$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.0213352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox46c9,420$4,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,086.6260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Guardians66c5,303$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians53c5,260$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.362,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guardians55c4,818$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65032852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Guardians43c4,044$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians37c3,830$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.12,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians55c3,634$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.768769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Guardians49c3,436$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.51,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox48c2,934$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.091,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox45c2,456$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.881,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd17…15a2backed White Sox46c2,217$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc689…771cbacked White Sox46c2,087$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Guardians49c1,828$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.312437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked White Sox45c1,780$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9791,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…09e5backed Guardians54c1,755$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed White Sox46c1,680$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.971,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa154…747abacked Guardians54c1,666$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Guardians53c1,601$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.2850852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Guardians55c1,534$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.8171751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked White Sox46c1,045$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.37554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe994…86ccbacked Guardians57c1,030$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55d…2a37backed White Sox43c1,030$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.091030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed White Sox45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians54c943.38$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4366645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Guardians75c927.92$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.817754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x793e…ca03backed Guardians54c882.72$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9a…12debacked White Sox46c861.84$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.391560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed White Sox59c811.53$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.7354048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e41…364bbacked Guardians56c791.57$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2582…478bbacked Guardians54c746.33$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.021428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x053d…b168backed White Sox47c746.28$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.532157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Guardians52c676.5$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.551,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked White Sox55c650.68$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.013852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Guardians55c615.03$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.731,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Guardians56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33624248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked White Sox46c569.44$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.55,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox44c528.47$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.181,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Guardians53c515.44$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians58c501.02$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.32,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Guardians53c481.13$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25525954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed White Sox44c402.05$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1514148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb61…58ffbacked Guardians54c367.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.05850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked White Sox46c353.24$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7543247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Guardians30c351.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8617927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Guardians49c341.88$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5211748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox59c331.93$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.091,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Guardians4c290$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.494754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Guardians54c279.41$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.913,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Guardians53c265.17$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.549947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked White Sox44c250.71$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1119742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe87…8b1dbacked White Sox44c235$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox43c234.39$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4870841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…cefebacked Guardians56c230$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians56c226.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.111,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Guardians58c225.78$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Guardians55c221.82$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Guardians46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb92d…c34bbacked Guardians32c204.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed White Sox49c203.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4357545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed White Sox54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9241751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f91…fc95backed White Sox50c199.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.963562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians44c181.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0351334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Guardians55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Guardians55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8038743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Guardians67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b95…4f11backed White Sox47c146$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Guardians67c144.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.596743.3%29 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea7a…2f60backed Guardians54c142$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Guardians74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed White Sox44c130.91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3115949.1%78 W · 81 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Guardians53c121.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.386357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f3…c2c2backed White Sox46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed White Sox50c119.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6153448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf002…047fbacked Guardians58c116.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.716851.8%87 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc8…d0f9backed White Sox46c115$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b34…7484backed White Sox56c113.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.632356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fdd…57ebbacked White Sox47c112.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.754100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f4…869fbacked White Sox46c101.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Guardians55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Guardians50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024444.3%108 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6780…82dfbacked White Sox46c99.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe69b…6afdbacked Guardians55c97.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.074250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed White Sox47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7478454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef6…646bbacked Guardians54c94.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9959…0d51backed Guardians54c94.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf066…20cabacked White Sox47c91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed White Sox46c88.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8225952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.