WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs. Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4e39359a7d8b57eef817e739f09ca76402e97c3dd74e70d0c5f2f8190c7d7f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Wings, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 18c | 7,654$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.16 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Valkyries | 41c | 3,779$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Valkyries | 57c | 3,507$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Wings | 35c | 2,876$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wings | 15c | 2,775$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.55 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 68c | 2,516$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.8 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wings | 30c | 1,765$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.95 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valkyries | 65c | 1,254$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.18 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Wings | 65c | 1,200$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wings | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Wings | 70c | 668.99$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wings | 14c | 637$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Wings | 14c | 599.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 17c | 588.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 18c | 566.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Wings | 43c | 532.79$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Valkyries | 49c | 511.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.22 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Valkyries | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wings | 17c | 322$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wings | 26c | 315.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Valkyries | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Valkyries | 60c | 233.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries | 58c | 230.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wings | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Valkyries | 60c | 222.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wings | 9c | 216.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries | 57c | 205.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Valkyries | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0e…b61cbacked Valkyries | 69c | 152.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Valkyries | 41c | 143.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 15c | 132.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Wings | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…35d1backed Valkyries | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Wings | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 66c | 60.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Valkyries | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Valkyries | 55c | 54.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Valkyries | 72c | 50.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Valkyries | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Valkyries | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Valkyries | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Wings | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Valkyries | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Valkyries | 68c | 32.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…f969backed Valkyries | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wings | 41c | 27.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Wings | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Wings | 68c | 17.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.