MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98010e94760935641bc22dab7e72d1dd99690249f7960ee0a34e52db5ac897e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Nationals | 60c | 35,487$21,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,280.42 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nationals | 59c | 20,445$12,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,062.55 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockies | 40c | 20,240$8,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,144 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies | 39c | 18,817$7,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,478.3 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockies | 41c | 16,840$6,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,935.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 22c | 9,418$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.49 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 59c | 4,234$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.24 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Nationals | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.2 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 77c | 4,018$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.01 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rockies | 71c | 3,990$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.32 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rockies | 38c | 2,943$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.42 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rockies | 41c | 2,889$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.62 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 63c | 2,352$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.11 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 20c | 2,236$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.21 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Nationals | 60c | 2,110$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.08 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 40c | 1,944$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 40c | 1,863$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 41c | 1,532$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies | 40c | 1,494$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.16 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 47c | 1,394$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.51 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 41c | 1,345$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.33 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies | 77c | 1,309$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.06 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Nationals | 42c | 1,284$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.76 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Rockies | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Nationals | 38c | 1,172$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.98 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rockies | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Nationals | 60c | 916.67$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Rockies | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…09e4backed Rockies | 72c | 744.13$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 74c | 699.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Rockies | 41c | 609.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.89 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Rockies | 69c | 584.97$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Nationals | 31c | 584.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 6c | 575.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 59c | 504.75$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.76 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockies | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Nationals | 61c | 460.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Nationals | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rockies | 54c | 366$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.83 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Nationals | 60c | 331.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 59c | 322.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…49c3backed Nationals | 63c | 317.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies | 65c | 297.67$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 44c | 281.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rockies | 41c | 257$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.63 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Rockies | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rockies | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies | 42c | 231.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies | 76c | 230.11$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 40c | 209.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Nationals | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 25c | 192.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 44c | 163.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rockies | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Nationals | 14c | 139.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…f969backed Nationals | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies | 38c | 110.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…e356backed Rockies | 76c | 103.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Rockies | 62c | 101.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Rockies | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 60c | 99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rockies | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Nationals | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Nationals | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Nationals | 36c | 69.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rockies | 37c | 67.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Rockies | 42c | 65.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Rockies | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Nationals | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nationals | 58c | 63.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Rockies | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Nationals | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rockies | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockies | 41c | 51.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Nationals | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Rockies | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed9…1db6backed Rockies | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…888fbacked Nationals | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Nationals | 58c | 40.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Nationals | 59c | 37.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Nationals | 41c | 37.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Nationals | 31c | 36.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…f60fbacked Nationals | 62c | 36.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Nationals | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Nationals | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5eb…5124backed Nationals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Nationals | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 41c | 31.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Rockies | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Rockies | 41c | 30.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.