Us Politics · resolved market
Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58650cdc4f47051d131f707cc51f50e050d025ae2c8c679b7ad329ddef73311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 4,662$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Yes | 20c | 4,171$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.47 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 19c | 3,900$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.95 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 18c | 2,843$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.32 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…d5ddbacked Yes | 15c | 2,839$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…ded5backed Yes | 16c | 2,633$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.6 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,610$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.96 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 6c | 2,532$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.33 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 22c | 2,100$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 69c | 1,923$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.77 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 18c | 1,906$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.84 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 13c | 1,853$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 69c | 1,755$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.55 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 24c | 1,128$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.18 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 13c | 1,059$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,037$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,036$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.88 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1750…dce6backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 66c | 974.77$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.39 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 17c | 886.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 77c | 856.54$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…2b08backed Yes | 27c | 740.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 26c | 500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 27c | 500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…30a1backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 13c | 485.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…cf8dbacked Yes | 5c | 485$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 79c | 477$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 42c | 476.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…e434backed Yes | 27c | 462.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 19c | 460$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…31b9backed Yes | 13c | 449.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…39b0backed Yes | 13c | 445.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 9c | 419.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 25c | 388.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 10c | 378.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed Yes | 5c | 365.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 76c | 360$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…3d1ebacked Yes | 30c | 334.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed Yes | 8c | 331.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 316.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 11c | 313.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 25c | 313.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 308.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…b694backed Yes | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 11c | 281.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 9c | 244.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 21c | 243.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…d41dbacked Yes | 36c | 214.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 11c | 210$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 59c | 206.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…e9fdbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9ed9backed Yes | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…c142backed Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 31c | 161.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…09b5backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…043dbacked No | 77c | 132$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…6788backed Yes | 20c | 126.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 42c | 119.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 18c | 111.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 19c | 101.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4e…3f76backed Yes | 25c | 100.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 100.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…8af1backed Yes | 18c | 100.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -69%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…ad71backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…8709backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…ca50backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…0cb3backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 33c | 76.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 20c | 74.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 23c | 63.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…aa28backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Yes | 24c | 57.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 27c | 55.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…f169backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…6309backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…9a1abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6050…80d6backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…7f09backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…88dfbacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…88b9backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…883dbacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5f…6563backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…3f02backed Yes | 31c | 49.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 73c | 45.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 73c | 41.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.