TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Braves, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Braves48c20,000$9,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,431.7415553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox52c11,919$6,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,197.621,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Braves49c5,555$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.0460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Braves49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9111746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2392…0d4bbacked Red Sox24c3,943$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+288%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Braves76c3,700$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Red Sox51c2,550$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.57248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Red Sox55c2,300$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.6321941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox51c2,250$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox52c2,217$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.62,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox52c2,209$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.381,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Braves49c2,057$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.1930842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d67…0021backed Braves46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox30c1,854$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.872,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Red Sox54c1,839$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Red Sox55c1,819$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e36…3dd4backed Braves75c1,684$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Red Sox50c1,575$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.5914444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Red Sox51c1,503$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.532864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Braves49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7652030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox24c1,465$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.161,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves48c1,351$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.521,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox52c1,158$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.941,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Red Sox33c1,121$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.23450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa053…cf80backed Red Sox54c1,019$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…6a3cbacked Red Sox54c981$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe36e…a46cbacked Red Sox51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x083a…c64dbacked Braves50c950$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Red Sox20c935.92$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1831145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Braves63c718.18$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1811357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves63c569.49$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.39,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Red Sox20c505$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Red Sox51c450$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.516352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Red Sox55c420.55$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Red Sox51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox55c339.36$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9280955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox51c323.88$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.185341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox51c268.74$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Red Sox40c247.53$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Red Sox50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Red Sox50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Braves50c146.72$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3617155%94 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Red Sox51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Braves47c111.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2585047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Braves48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1726651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox51c102.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.035,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a4…932dbacked Braves50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Braves48c98.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox33c97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.171,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Red Sox52c91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3243250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb5…6eb6backed Braves46c90.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Red Sox51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4578454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Red Sox51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Red Sox51c75.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2616055.6%89 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Braves50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Red Sox26c59.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0c…fbe4backed Red Sox51c58.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.74650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72b…e180backed Braves49c57.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.491872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+46.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee64…3f7ebacked Braves69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Red Sox50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59de…e8afbacked Red Sox54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Red Sox53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves50c49.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.62,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Red Sox51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a0…2569backed Red Sox32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154450%22 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Braves46c42.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2141649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2732…b41bbacked Red Sox55c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Braves46c39.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.469448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Braves76c36.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.687659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Red Sox50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.516347.2%77 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Braves47c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9e…9606backed Red Sox51c34.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.491850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e8…45c4backed Red Sox55c33.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…56e3backed Braves47c32.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox39c32.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x60df…31f7backed Braves50c31.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.972035%7 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cc7…7707backed Red Sox51c31.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.021861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Braves50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa14…8905backed Braves47c29.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a2…5d29backed Braves50c29.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c2…88cdbacked Red Sox55c29.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fed…00d1backed Red Sox51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Red Sox51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8aa…b890backed Braves51c28.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eba…a88dbacked Braves50c27.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae3a…bdd7backed Red Sox55c27.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x683f…6473backed Braves50c27.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3c…9ed9backed Braves74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe3…1ed6backed Red Sox51c25.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.151675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Braves72c25.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1763942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0839…9acfbacked Red Sox51c25.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-55.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a19…d6a8backed Red Sox51c24.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8065…4950backed Red Sox55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Red Sox52c23.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3937552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.