MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ee99d97457e35e26ff2e707d88526844e522de9f5be1090e88455a3825c34cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Red Sox, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ea…4ae3backed Tigers | 47c | 34,557$16,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,315.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…5ee8backed Red Sox | 53c | 34,557$18,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,315.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Red Sox | 32c | 5,000$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.58 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Tigers | 49c | 4,098$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.93 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 45c | 4,001$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.57 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Tigers | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Red Sox | 3c | 1,671$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,512$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.15 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,502$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Tigers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,256$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Tigers | 49c | 1,222$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.42 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 68c | 1,094$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Red Sox | 53c | 906.98$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.7 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Red Sox | 52c | 870.78$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Tigers | 48c | 870.78$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Sox | 49c | 865.94$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.31 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Tigers | 48c | 845.78$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…4ab1backed Red Sox | 52c | 845.78$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Red Sox | 52c | 776.92$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Tigers | 48c | 776.92$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Tigers | 47c | 771.77$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.04 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 51c | 755.61$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.36 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Tigers | 78c | 641.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox | 53c | 633$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.49 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tigers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Tigers | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Tigers | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Tigers | 73c | 437.48$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Tigers | 48c | 399.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Red Sox | 53c | 379.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers | 50c | 367.83$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 63c | 361.04$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Tigers | 63c | 319.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Red Sox | 31c | 311.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 291.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…035cbacked Red Sox | 45c | 219.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Tigers | 49c | 215.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Tigers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Tigers | 48c | 207.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Red Sox | 53c | 207$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tigers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Tigers | 52c | 187.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Red Sox | 54c | 186.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Tigers | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 31c | 148.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 28c | 121$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Tigers | 49c | 100.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…ca1abacked Tigers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 92.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…8f1bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 91.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…4c48backed Tigers | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Red Sox | 23c | 87.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Sox | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Tigers | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…49a2backed Tigers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 50c | 55.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…bcd5backed Tigers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Red Sox | 51c | 49.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…af37backed Red Sox | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b553backed Tigers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers | 49c | 46.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Tigers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…50c3backed Red Sox | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c11…f77ebacked Tigers | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox | 48c | 33.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Tigers | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Tigers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Tigers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Tigers | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Tigers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Tigers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Tigers | 73c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…c1c7backed Tigers | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Tigers | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…ae4cbacked Red Sox | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…f158backed Red Sox | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…4fe0backed Red Sox | 53c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c7…ac9fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.