MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e71c72c311c65413db1c7e64b6e7f59a0746ba7b22b4e11bb943b8cd94068d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Nationals | 47c | 29,623$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,623.02 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Orioles | 54c | 20,583$11,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,114.66 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Orioles | 53c | 15,570$8,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,244.74 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 53c | 15,000$7,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,902.95 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 46c | 11,857$5,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,402.53 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 31c | 10,450$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210.4 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Orioles | 62c | 5,673$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.11 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nationals | 46c | 4,755$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.21 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Nationals | 27c | 3,808$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.37 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 46c | 3,708$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Nationals | 46c | 2,888$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.68 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 35c | 2,743$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.1 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nationals | 54c | 2,708$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.85 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Orioles | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 44c | 2,320$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.47 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 61c | 2,318$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 61c | 1,822$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.94 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Nationals | 50c | 1,116$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.16 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 58c | 1,049$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 53c | 1,021$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.28 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 49c | 971.45$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.05 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 38c | 962.77$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.55 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 46c | 854.93$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.86 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Nationals | 49c | 836$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.36 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Nationals | 49c | 828.57$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.57 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Nationals | 48c | 786.03$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.73 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Nationals | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Nationals | 34c | 579.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.84 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 47c | 455.1$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Orioles | 52c | 359.62$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Nationals | 30c | 333.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Orioles | 51c | 331.39$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Nationals | 66c | 298.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Nationals | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 50c | 252.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 46c | 215.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Orioles | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Orioles | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nationals | 46c | 127$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Orioles | 54c | 120.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Orioles | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 38c | 108.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Nationals | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 48c | 105.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nationals | 49c | 102.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Nationals | 47c | 100.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Orioles | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Nationals | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Orioles | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Orioles | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…0c36backed Orioles | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nationals | 36c | 86.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Nationals | 46c | 85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 38c | 81.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Nationals | 46c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Nationals | 40c | 68.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…e85ebacked Orioles | 52c | 64.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 45c | 62.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 52c | 56.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…4e4ebacked Orioles | 54c | 55.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Nationals | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…269ebacked Nationals | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…1a6ebacked Nationals | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Nationals | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Nationals | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 47c | 49.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Orioles | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nationals | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Nationals | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Orioles | 63c | 41.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Orioles | 54c | 40.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Nationals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Nationals | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…e065backed Nationals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Nationals | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Nationals | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…6473backed Nationals | 46c | 37.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Orioles | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e4…7632backed Nationals | 50c | 34.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9f…3cc5backed Nationals | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…45c4backed Nationals | 47c | 32.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…01eabacked Nationals | 47c | 31.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…4da4backed Nationals | 47c | 31.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Orioles | 55c | 31.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…6fc4backed Nationals | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…c1c1backed Orioles | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…9ed9backed Nationals | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…653bbacked Nationals | 50c | 30.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…4950backed Nationals | 50c | 30.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…b1bfbacked Orioles | 55c | 30.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.8wins | -0.41per pick | 49cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Nationals | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.