MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1fbe05f2279f80edf5ea9184b0d6e2ecaf3ebb9ed895e2bd4b43a48f28e4f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Rays | 56c | 23,706$13,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.99 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Blue Jays | 52c | 10,592$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…b00cbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x706f…a645backed Rays | 38c | 9,995$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,196.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Blue Jays | 62c | 4,678$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.34 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rays | 74c | 4,120$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.28 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 40c | 3,446$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.32 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 61c | 3,052$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.88 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Blue Jays | 32c | 2,879$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.05 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Rays | 38c | 2,339$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.29 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…f599backed Rays | 39c | 2,200$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…53aebacked Rays | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 43c | 1,988$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Blue Jays | 18c | 1,924$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.54 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Blue Jays | 21c | 1,892$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c7…669bbacked Rays | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Blue Jays | 43c | 1,791$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.55 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…e00dbacked Rays | 39c | 1,650$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Rays | 39c | 1,648$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 1,588$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.53 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 34c | 1,543$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 15c | 1,281$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…1583backed Blue Jays | 5c | 1,265$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Blue Jays | 33c | 1,200$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…f027backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,102$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…8696backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,098$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…ae80backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,033$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 43c | 1,000$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.93 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…da24backed Blue Jays | 61c | 967$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…a9eebacked Blue Jays | 61c | 967$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 886.78$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Blue Jays | 26c | 875$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Blue Jays | 35c | 857$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…3010backed Blue Jays | 61c | 833$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…adc4backed Blue Jays | 61c | 830$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Blue Jays | 61c | 820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 38c | 682.31$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Rays | 40c | 650$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 38c | 644.25$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.44 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rays | 63c | 510.03$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 62c | 470.5$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.65 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 457.25$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Blue Jays | 60c | 420.99$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Blue Jays | 43c | 394.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 61c | 383.95$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Rays | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Blue Jays | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…906dbacked Rays | 40c | 327.25$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rays | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jays | 34c | 268.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Rays | 39c | 262.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Blue Jays | 6c | 252.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Blue Jays | 27c | 232.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 24c | 230.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 191.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Rays | 58c | 179.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 40c | 164.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 161.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f5…66b2backed Blue Jays | 41c | 156.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Rays | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Blue Jays | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…814abacked Rays | 64c | 143.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Rays | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Blue Jays | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Blue Jays | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Blue Jays | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jays | 36c | 96.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Rays | 76c | 94.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…dc31backed Blue Jays | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…e3b6backed Blue Jays | 61c | 79.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…7d44backed Blue Jays | 62c | 74.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Rays | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Blue Jays | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…85dfbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…83c0backed Rays | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…1912backed Rays | 40c | 59.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…b324backed Rays | 67c | 56.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…1896backed Rays | 40c | 54.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Blue Jays | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Blue Jays | 61c | 52.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Blue Jays | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…e72dbacked Rays | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…055abacked Rays | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Rays | 39c | 50.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rays | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 49.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…4193backed Rays | 40c | 48.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…d2d9backed Blue Jays | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…3658backed Rays | 66c | 46.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Blue Jays | 62c | 41.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…9ea3backed Blue Jays | 61c | 36.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rays | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Blue Jays | 51c | 35.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.