TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ca8…1a39backed No56c5,331$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.283154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes41c4,092$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.0232158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No26c3,763$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.5879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes74c3,360$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.172450%12 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.132454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed Yes42c3,100$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7981741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No20c1,897$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6937841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No57c1,300$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.765453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No56c1,258$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.7329643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No58c1,202$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.5332037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No40c1,060$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.014252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…2da4backed No45c1,038$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd4a…d59fbacked No44c1,023$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…6d8cbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0583…054dbacked Yes47c984.19$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.192544%11 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No34c917.83$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2311657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No59c851.43$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1394…e426backed Yes43c768$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.761650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Yes45c693.41$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.382142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb8…ebd0backed No58c635.02$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes67c533.4$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.025141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b5c…f96fbacked No49c526.84$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes75c520.67$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.393161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes45c507.58$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.177651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes42c483.33$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3310445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes45c470.71$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.716838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Yes62c325.81$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.66837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Yes66c301.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.123545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No55c299.94$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9717837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a0…f57dbacked No50c297.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-58.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7113336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf845…810ebacked Yes71c264.71$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No6c260.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8966031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes63c260$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.25151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed No60c249.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae59…761fbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No55c215$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.259943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes47c214.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9311638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No60c212.36$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.314362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc7…cf60backed No59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf5…cae9backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c64…16b5backed Yes66c189.21$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked No27c185.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No56c150.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.797967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No54c148$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9218260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No56c133$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No56c132.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8636259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No57c132$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.727968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74a0…2ab4backed Yes75c129.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b31…9d8cbacked No59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes53c115.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No31c115.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3619632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No29c109.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6125329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Yes47c103.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.741450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x088d…b1b0backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea3…76e5backed Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes60c99.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.572035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Yes63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No30c77.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde6e…8444backed Yes42c70.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.01825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed No60c66.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes45c66.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.642733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c1…a5a5backed Yes71c65.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yes43c63.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.053336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5594…c0b2backed No38c62.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed No59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.43844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.526051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb474…0c0bbacked Yes74c56.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d25…dbfcbacked Yes41c52.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3761…6e8ebacked No61c52.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…1ad8backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb189…35ebbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c51…d903backed Yes46c46.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb894…0ffcbacked No60c46.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.78862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No54c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa468…d83bbacked No59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes57c41.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x90f9…f0f5backed No58c40.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522c…86a4backed Yes43c40.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c9…ed2bbacked No59c40.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0a…ece2backed Yes45c39.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4f…ec14backed Yes39c38.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d2…a77fbacked Yes41c38.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…0c08backed Yes41c38.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked No41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed1f…3462backed Yes41c36.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.446354%34 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…0eacbacked Yes42c36.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe566…bc52backed Yes41c35.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0375…7be4backed Yes40c35.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Yes43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.884845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3d…eb44backed Yes38c34.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.