Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdbbe82372c2797d6d37a675d9482fc30f68d8a79713300e349e0977ef0f8616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borussia Mönchengladbachof Borussia Mönchengladbach, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 73c | 2,298$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.72 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 40c | 1,330$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 15c | 1,081$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.95 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 18c | 972.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.77 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 32c | 895.56$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.29 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 17c | 588$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.04 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 17c | 587.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.75 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 17c | 586.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.06 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 17c | 586.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.06 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8c | 464.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.3 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 76c | 388.16$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 17c | 355.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 27c | 272.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 39c | 103.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 37c | 86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 17c | 66.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 45c | 37.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 0.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.