Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6fe4a5daa712a8c53afbbaba48b87fa7e258549c7c26822c76f3204bda8f8a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 52c | 4,817$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 4,482$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.81 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 41c | 2,700$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,576$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.36 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 48c | 2,368$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.64 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,693$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 67c | 1,001$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.47 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 37c | 843.24$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.24 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 703.63$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.31 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Over | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 50c | 624$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 622.96$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.48 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 51c | 616.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 50c | 523$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 489.28$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 51c | 407.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Over | 49c | 407.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 380$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 14c | 315$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 35c | 309.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 270.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 44c | 260.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 247.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…eb65backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 51c | 194.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 168.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 19c | 168$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 8c | 162.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 76c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 27c | 86.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 61c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 50c | 62.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 35c | 60.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 35c | 58.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 56.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 51.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 62c | 46.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 39.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 35.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…eb5cbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 47c | 25.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 60c | 21.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 64c | 19.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 0.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.